DESPOT WATCH: Islam Karimov
From The National Interest
May 10, 2004
Islam Karimov was such a happy and contented Communist Party
leader that, when his domain inconveniently became the
independent republic of Uzbekistan in 1991, he simply took all
the trappings of Russian Communism--one-party rule, state control
of the press, secret surveillance of the populace, five-year
plans, government monopolization of the means of production--and
converted them, lock, stock and political prison, into a well-
oiled banana republic--or, to speak more properly, a cotton
republic, since Uzbekistan was completely denuded and
environmentally destroyed during its decades as the designated
cotton supplier to the rest of the USSR. Of course there were
little niggling problems for Karimov. He had to get a new flag.
He had to invent a new name for the KGB. (He settled on National
Security Service.) He had to learn Uzbek, since that's what the
natives actually speak. He had to take the oath of office with
one hand on the Koran and one hand on the new democratic
constitution, which must have thoroughly revolted him since, in
the intervening 13 years, he's never actually paid attention to
either one. You would think at some point he would have changed
his first name, since he basically believes that Islamicists,
even the most moderate ones, are threats to civilization and,
more to the point, to his own life. But since the country is 86
percent Muslim, he's got that General Custer feeling in the pit
of his stomach all the time. He deals with it by forcing all
mosques to be approved by the state. Anyone caught worshipping at
home (the official charge is being "too pious"), or praying in
public (he forbids the mosques to broadcast the "call to
prayer"), or wearing a beard (the symbol of what he inevitably
calls "Wahhabis," although all Muslims are Wahhabis to Karimov),
is subject to summary arrest and interrogation. Karimov's most
telling act of political symbolism was to take down all the
statues of Marx and Lenin (and let's not forget Stalin, who had
an especially strong statuary presence in Uzbekistan) and replace
them with Tamerlane the conqueror. Tamerlane had a way of uniting
warring Central Asian tribes--with the sword--and Karimov feels a
philosophical, if not spiritual, kinship. In one of Karimov's
typically endless speeches to Parliament (the kind that are
reported Pravda-style with notations of "unanimous ovation"), he
said of the outlawed Muslim organizations: "Such people must be
shot in the head. If necessary, I'll shoot them myself, if you
lack the resolve." This is the kind of public strongman chutzpah
we haven't been able to enjoy since the days of Nikita
Khrushchev.
Islam Karimov's biography reads like a Monty Python version
of a humorless Bolshevik climber. Raised in a Tashkent orphanage
(thereby realizing the early Soviet ideal of being educated
entirely by the state), he was trained as an engineer (the
prototypical job of the aspiring party member) and took his first
job as assistant foreman at the Tashkent Farm Machinery Plant.
(Say "Tashkent Farm Machinery Plant" with a John Cleese accent.
See what I mean?) He was quickly promoted to design engineer at
the Chkalov Tashkent Aviation Production Complex, which supplied
most of the cargo planes to the Soviet Union, and in 1966 started
his party career as First Secretary of the Kashkadaria Regional
Committee, which qualified him for a job at the State Planning
Office. That would be the same planning office that consistently
met its cotton quotas on five-year plans--until satellite photos
in the 1980s revealed that most of the cotton had never been
planted, much less harvested. The cotton that DID exist had been
sold on the black market. By that time Karimov was head of the
State Planning Committee, so he bravely took to the offensive
(according to his official website) and "resolutely defended his
nation, rejected all criminal myths and defamations from outside
by those who for the sake of their career aspirations tried to
set up interrogation rooms in the ancient land of the Uzbeks."
More than fifty THOUSAND bureaucrats were fired, but Karimov, at
the top of the pyramid, survived and thrived, becoming Uzbek
First Secretary in 1989.
Of course, that devotion to the "ancient land of the Uzbeks"
is entirely a post-1991 phenomenon, occasioned by the failure of
his Bolshevik friends to carry out their coup. Before
independence Karimov was part of the hardcore wing of the party,
so much so that the words "glasnost" and "perestroika" were never
used in Uzbekistan. "If we remain part of the Soviet Union," said
Karimov as the tanks rolled through Moscow, "our rivers will flow
with milk. If we don't, our rivers will flow with the blood of
our people." As soon as the coup was suppressed, though, Karimov
became a diehard nationalist--and started filling Uzbek rivers
with the blood of his people. For much of the rest of the
nineties he amused himself by hounding the political opposition
into prison or exile, throttling devout Muslims wherever he found
them, and inventing new ways to deal with this pesky constitution
thing. For his first election in 1991, he banned the Unity Party
(founded by Tashkent intellectuals in 1989 and claiming a
membership of 1.5 million) and the Islamic Renaissance Party on
the grounds that they might put forward actual candidates who
could receive actual votes. But to keep some semblance of
democracy he found an opponent: a poet named Mohammed Solih,
representing the Erk Party. (I'm telling you, it's a whole Python
episode.) The result was Karimov receiving 86 percent of the
vote. Two points about this: 1) The fact that 12 percent voted
for the Erk poet is pretty amazing in a country that has no idea
what democracy is. 2) Karimov was so scared by that 12 percent
that he drove the poet into exile, banned the Erk newspaper,
drove Erk supporters out of legislatures, and made sure anyone
else associated with Erk would be fired from his job, detained or
interrogated. (Presumably he also banned the complete poetical
works of Mohammed Solih, although there's no evidence that the
public was clamoring for his stanzas.) Karimov's one concession:
he allowed the party to continue to exist. No doubt they gather
on Wednesdays to read Kahlil Gibran under the watchful eye of a
government agent.
For the 1995 election Karimov decided that, rather than
being irked by Erk again, he would set up his own opposition
party--the National Progress Party--but then apparently thought
even that was too dangerous to public order. So the National
Progress Party magnanimously decided not to run a candidate at
all, and the voting was characterized as a "referendum" as
opposed to an election, because Karimov had discovered to his
horror that the constitution only allowed him to serve two terms.
He maintained that the word "referendum" meant that his FIRST
term had merely been extended five years, so that he could run
again in 2000. He did, of course, but he'd taken so much
international heat for his "referendum" that he promised the next
trip to the polls would be "an election with choices." That
choice came in the form of a wimpy guy named Abdulhasiz
Dzhalalov, who was so naive that he told reporters he was only in
the race to make it appear democratic, and then proudly announced
that he cast his own vote for Karimov. With such fierce
opposition, Karimov was only able to garner 91.9 percent of the
vote.
As dictators go, Karimov follows the Soviet model of
persecution in that any international outcry can be characterized
as meddling in the nation's internal affairs. He's old-fashioned
about interrogation, favoring electric shock, rubber truncheons,
rape of family members who won't reveal where the fugitive is,
asphyxiation, suspension from wrists or ankles, needles under the
fingernails and toenails, and that old favorite of the Hollywood
thriller, burning with cigarettes. His sole innovation in this
respect seems to be the recent boiling in oil of two troublesome
Muslims. Unfortunately the mother of one of the dead men,
shopkeeper Fatima Mukhadirova, persuaded the British Embassy to
investigate her son's death, and the University of Glasgow
conducted an autopsy on the body concluding that, yes, the man
had been boiled (probably in water, not oil), but only AFTER his
head and neck had been severely beaten and all of his fingernails
ripped off. For her pains, Fatima Mukhadirova was sentenced to
six years hard labor--and was only released after an
international outcry preceding Donald Rumsfeld's visit to
Tashkent.
Which brings us to the point. Perhaps no world leader has
benefitted more from 9/11 than Islam Karimov. Since most of his
waking hours are spent figuring out how to eliminate Islam from
the planet, the U.S. declaration of war on the Taliban must have
seemed like a gift from God (if not from Allah). Suddenly the
U.S., lacking any military installations in Central Asia, was in
dire need of a Stan. It had to be a Stan that bordered
Afghanistan--either Turkmenistan, Tajikistan or Uzbekistan.
Pakistan was looking pretty good for a while, until the local
rednecks started painting Bush's face on roosters and ripping
their heads off. So the goal became finding some place the
stormtroopers could hang out without starting riots in Peshawar.
The President, clueless at the time, called up Vladimir Putin and
said "Can we borrow a Stan or two?"
But, of course, the Stans had just spent a decade trying to
get RID of all Russian trappings--except for Uzbekistan, which
only pretended to get rid of Russian trappings. Nobody in Central
Asia was taking Vladimir Putin's phone calls, and if they did,
they did it secretly. For as every world leader for the past two
centuries can tell you, all the Stans are fiercely independent,
and more important, they're WACKY. If you look at the map,
Turkmenistan would have been the logical place for a U.S. base,
with all that long unprotected border with Afghanistan, and
number two would be Tajikistan--easy attack range for Kabul.
Uzbekistan seemed the LEAST likely one because it's just got that
little sliver of scrub desert frontier between the other two.
But really it was a no-brainer, by process of elimination.
Turkmenistan is one of those wandering-camel places that looks
like a Sergio Leone movie, and it's run by a guy named Saparmurat
Niyazov, who would prefer you call him Turkmenbashi, which
translates into "Head of all Turkmen." His picture and motto are
plastered on every building in the national capital of Ashgabat,
which means "the city of love." In this case, however, it means
"the city of Turkmenbashi's love for himself," because his ever-
present motto is "Halk, Watan, Turkmenbashi" (People! Nation!
Me!). The big tourist attraction in Ashgabat is the 200-foot-high
Arch of Neutrality, and on top of it is a golden statue of
Turkmenbashi himself. For the amusement of the populace,
Turkmenbashi's gilded arm magically rises up twice a day--once to
summon the sun from the east, once to wave goodbye to the sun in
the west. I think you get the idea. Turkmenbashi was an Amnesty
International nightmare waiting to happen.
The second choice would have been Tajikistan. This is one of
those countries that's not really a country, but when the Soviet
Union was trying to carve up Asia Stalin invented a lot of names
and territories for people who didn't know they were tribes until
he told them they were. "Tajik" just means "Persian-speaker," and
the first time they called themselves Tajiks came less than 80
years ago. If you went there in 1910 and said "What country am I
in?," the answer would be, "Hell if I know." And if you went
there in 1950, when it was a Soviet republic, and said "What
country am I in?," they would STILL say "Hell if I know." All the
Russians, needless to say, have gone home. Well, all the Russians
EXCEPT the 25,000 troops who were sent in to stop the various
tribes from slaughtering one another. The civil war in Tajikistan
broke out almost immediately after independence in 1991 and
pretty much continued until 1998, with so little interest by the
western press that 60,000 people could die and it would get a
little bold-face type on page 14G. The place had been closed to
the outside world for 100 years, so not only did we have no idea
which tribe was which, we couldn't even be sure of the NAMES of
most of them. Hence Tajikistan, where each VILLAGE has its own
language, is full of these guys who are looking forward to the
1200s, with a president (Imamali Rakhmanov) who is supported by
about three people. The 50 Russian military posts ranged along
the Afghan border would be okay for U.S. purposes, except for the
fact that a lot of the refugees in northern Afghanistan are also
Tajiks. Let me put this into perspective. These are people who go
to Afghanistan BY CHOICE, because it's better than Tajikistan.
The last thing they wanna see is a bunch of American techno-
jockeys with laser-guided missiles pointed toward the south
where, for all we know, their grandmothers could be living. And
it doesn't take much for them to come thundering out of the
mountains waving sabres and firing rifles. It's not like they
could hurt us, but it would be extremely messy.
And that brings us to Uzbekistan. First of all it has a
capital of 2.3 million people. So the Uzbeks have no problem at
all living in honest-to-God cities. Second, Karimov is a natural
anti-terrorism ally because he believes every Muslim in the world
is a potential terrorist. And finally, Tashkent has a Le Meridien
and an Intercontinental. It's as pro-western as you can get in a
region whose foreign policy has traditionally been to hate
everybody.
So when Karimov granted the U.S. permission to use the
Khanbad military base, he suddenly became America's best friend.
(If you have any doubts, check the Uzbekistan website, which has
ridiculously gleaming smiles on the faces of President Bush,
Donald Rumsfeld, Colin Powell and Paul O'Neill as they gladhand
the dictator.) In fact, making a pact with Karimov did accomplish
three things for the U.S.: 1) a base for pursuing the Taliban, 2)
inroads into the Kazakh and Turkmen oil and gas market (Caspian
Sea pipeline politics), and 3) major influence in the most
populous, settled and central of all the Central Asian republics.
That's got to tick off Russia and China big-time.
For Karimov, the deal was just an open checkbook. When he
met with Bush at the White House in March 2002, he went away with
$500 million in aid and credit (more than 15 times what he would
get in the normal course of things), $25 million in military
assistance, $18 million for "border security," and $1 million for
police. Bush called him one of America's "foremost partners in
the fight against terrorism"--a sentiment that's been repeated by
a parade of dignitaries that have made the trek to Tashkent,
including Generals Tommy R. Franks, Richard B. Myers, and Anthony
Zinni, and congressmen McCain, Lieberman and Daschle.
Of course, while all this was going on, there were between
7,000 and 10,000 prisoners being held on religious and political
charges in Uzbekistan. The political charges Karimov didn't have
to worry about. "Member of an Islamic terrorist organization,"
was pretty much all the explanation he had to give, although
under Uzbek law they might have been imprisoned for such crimes
as "encroachment on the constitutional order," "anti-state
activities," "subversion" or "infringement upon the honor and
dignity of the president"--an umbrella of terms that pretty much
allows him to shackle up any Muslim who looks at him the wrong
way. The prisoners held on religious charges were a little bit
more embarrassing for the U.S., especially since one of America's
stated goals in fighting the Taliban was to establish freedom of
religion. To give you some idea of the schizophrenia of Karimov,
he first established a human rights organization, then abducted
the founder of it from a conference in Bishkek and charged him
with sedition. No doubt the man had acted beyond his charter,
like the Erk Party.
In other words, the War on Terror for Karimov is a
bureaucratic convenience. Since his nation is full of outlawed
parties run by Muslims, any one of them can be characterized as
terrorist simply by its existence. To be fair, there are some
SCARY Islamic parties in Uzbekistan, the kind that want to
establish shariah law and bring back the caliphates, but the
majority of the underground movements just want simple democracy,
which would result, of course, in an Islamic government of some
kind, but not a theocracy, and certainly not the retro-soviet
model that Karimov upholds by sheer force of will. There are even
parties that call for a secular government on the Turkish model,
but those are lumped in with the others because Turkey, for
Karimov, is just entirely too anarchic.
Thanks to Stalin, Islam is the only thing that unites the
population, since the notion of the "Uzbek" is just an umbrella
term that allowed the Soviets to lump together a lot of different
ethnic groups, thereby diluting the power of all of them. Uzbek
was actually the name of a 14th-century Mongol khan. Those would
be the same Mongols who adopted the Turkic language while
assembled in Kazakhstan, then swept southeast and defeated
Tamerlane by 1510, creating the borders of the country that
exists today, plus Tajikistan. (This makes Karimov's reverence
for Tamerlane a kind of backhanded threat. If he's Tamerlane,
then he's set out to drive out the invaders, which would mean
getting rid of most of his population.) Most of the people
describe themselves as either Turks or Persians, but above all,
Muslims. Uzbekistan has always been so religious that even 70
years of Soviet rule, including the dismantling of the great
Islamic universities, failed to really impact the worship habits
of the people. One reason Karimov feels he has to suppress the
imams is that they're the only leaders the populace has ever
trusted--and that feeling goes back centuries, as the nation has
been buffeted back and forth between Russia, Persia, East Asian
potentates and, briefly, Great Britain. Most of the political
opposition today is based in Russia, Turkey and Afghanistan,
although Uzbekistan rebels, like Muslim rebels everywhere, have a
strong presence in "Londonistan" for public relations purposes.
Karimov has quite a few things going for him as he exerts
minority rule. For one thing, Uzbekistan is the most settled and
populous of all Central Asian countries, with most of the people
concentrated in Tashkent and the Fergana Valley, where the
aforementioned cotton fiasco took place and where the ethnic
broth has caused centuries of bloody strife. (The other two-
thirds of the country is wasteland, including the Aral Sea, which
was once the fourth largest inland body of water in the world,
but lost more than 60 percent of its water since 1961 as its
feeder streams were used for cotton irrigation and it became so
polluted with insecticides and fertilizers that it salinized,
killing all the fish, grounding ships, poisoning the drinking
water and the vegetables, and leaving a salty lethal dust
throughout a moonscape of dead ponds and sandbars.) The people in
the eastern third live in towns and villages that have changed
little for two centuries, making surveillance easy. For example,
each neighborhood still has its elder, called a "white beard,"
who gets his authority from the community--but his wages from the
government. Since no one in the neighborhood can do anything
without the white beard's permission, these figureheads are used
by Karimov as enforcers and informants. There's no intelligentsia
to speak of; it was originally wiped out by Stalin, then
periodically purged by subsequent Soviet leaders. The purge of
the Unity Party was the latest successful effort to drive the
liberal democrats into exile. The mean monthly income is $50--
high by Central Asian standards, but not high enough to create a
dangerous middle class. The "sum," as the currency is called, is
not convertible, so there's virtually no foreign investment and,
by necessity, a barter economy. (The sum is devaluing at the rate
of 30 percent per year.) The country's biggest highway runs from
Tashkent to Termiz on the Afghan border--literally a dead end in
terms of trade. Just as the Iron Curtain protected the Bolsheviks
for seven decades, Uzbekistan's isolation (the Silk Curtain?)
protects Karimov.
And so Karimov is able to rule a nation of 24 million with
relative ease because it's full of extremely large families (more
women with ten or more children under the age of 20 than any
other former Soviet republic; half the population under age 15)
who have no upward mobility nor means of migration (although
60,000 do manage to leave the country each year). In some
respects the population lives as it did 15 centuries ago.
(Silkworms, for example, are raised in homes, a literal cottage
industry.) Although the population is overwhelmingly Sunni
Muslim, there is one extremely important Shia shrine in
Shakhimardan--the resting place of Ali, son-in-law of Mohammed
and fourth caliph, whom all Shias consider second only to the
Prophet himself in holiness. The mosque and tomb there were
torched in the early 1920s, probably by Bolsheviks, and during
the Soviet era it was renamed in honor of a secular Communist
poet (!), but the desecration of the site rankles the Shias and
makes for some strange alliances with their nominal Sunni rivals.
In other words, there's just enough radical Muslim unrest
for Karimov to justify any level of suppression to his War on
Terror friends in the west. His number one enemy is the Islamic
Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), a largely secret organization that
wants to established a theocracy. Two IMU rebels have been
sentenced to death in absentia, and many other members are
languishing in prison. These are real terrorists, blamed for six
bomb attacks in Tashkent in 1999 that killed 16 people, who have
also been known to trade western hostages for money. The problem
is, Karimov uses these bad guys to extend his xenophobia to other
groups, including people who aren't Muslim at all. Jews, Crimean
Tatars, Germans, Greeks, Meskhetian Turks and Slavs have all been
leaving the country rather than expose their bosses to the
embarrassing chore of firing them. Censorship was officially
abolished in 2002, but press restrictions still forbid mentioning
corruption, drug trafficking, Islam, or criticism of Karimov.
Five journalists are currently in prison, including the freedom-
of-the-press activist Ruslan Sharipov, serving four years.
And for the most part Karimov has been allowed to get away
with it. Even when he's appeared at western press conferences,
usually side by side with U.S. leaders, he's gotten softball
questions. The sole exception I know of was Andrea Koppel of CNN,
who used Colin Powell's visit to Tashkent to ask Karimov, "What
do you say to your critics who say that you are nothing more than
a brutal, repressive, authoritarian dictator?"
Karimov's reply could best be described as indignant
confusion. "I am very surprised to hear the question you posed,"
said the man who longs for the simplicity of Communist times.
"And I believe that these questions that are asked are due to be
asked and probably we cannot circumvent these questions. We have
to answer them. What can I answer? My answer is that one is to
see things rather than hear them one hundred times. I would like
to invite you for communication with me on a more permanent basis
and believe that I will not disappoint you."
For some reason I find this answer, in all its opaque
evasion, strangely unsettling. It's the answer of a man who's not
used to being asked questions at all, much less questions that
suggest his performance is subject to review. It's almost
delusional in its raving complexity, the reaction of a man in the
first moment after he's been shot.
Of course, we should have expected that. Karimov is one of
those old-school Tyrants of the Book who, like Lenin and Stalin,
has his every utterance recorded as Holy Writ. We don't have
space here to list all 11 of the books he's published since 1996,
but suffice it to say that they begin with the page-turner
"Uzbekistan: National Independence, Political Ideology," get
progressively longer and denser, and reach a kind of apex of
prolixity with his 2000 masterwork, "Our High Goal Is the
Independence and Prosperity of Our Motherland, Freedom and
Welfare of Our People." (I checked Barnes & Noble, but they're
all sold out.)
The only other person who speaks publicly in Tashkent about
the freedom and welfare of the Uzbeks is XXXXX Murray, the
British ambassador, who had the bad manners to say in an October
2002 Tashkent speech that Uzbekistan is not a democracy, that
it's not becoming a democracy, and that Karimov's war against
terrorism is simply an excuse for persecution. The United States
embassy, which had gone to great pains to portray Uzbekistan as
an "emerging" democracy, was extremely upset. Uzbek leaders
demanded an apology. Murray refused to stand down, continuing to
rail against the government as late as August 2003, speaking
about repression of political activity, lack of free speech, the
inequality of wealth, the absence of reform, and, by the way, the
systematic use of torture. Eventually he caused so much alarm in
London that he was investigated by the Foreign Office for
misconduct. In October 2003 he returned to London for "medical
reasons," but he's continued to make speeches about Karimov's
government, and the U.S. embassy in Tashkent has made no secret
of loathing him.
Of course, Murray is not saying anything that hasn't been
said already by various international aid agencies. The Amnesty
International report from 2000 recounts the torture of five
members of the Party of Liberation (a banned Islamic group that
professes to be non-violent) through such means as suffocation
with a plastic bag, hanging upside down, needles under the nails,
burning of the hands and feet, and electric shocks administered
via devices fitted to their heads. The top United Nations
official on torture, Theo van Boven, said in December 2002 that
such treatment--in order to force confessions--is "not just
incidental but has a nature of being systemic in this country."
Everything started to get messy around 1999, after a failed
attempt on Karimov's life (always a wakeup call for a dictator),
resulting in more roundups, summary trials, detentions--and an
emboldened resistance. As this article goes to press, 43 people
have been killed in Tashkent and Bukhara over three days, with
the nation's first suicide bombings ever and indications that the
Islamic militants are mobilizing for more. But the dissidents may
have overplayed their hand. President Bush, no doubt at Karimov's
urging, issued a statement, saying, "These attacks only
strengthen our resolve to defeat terrorists wherever they hide
and strike, working in close cooperation with Uzbekistan and our
other partners in the global war on terror." In other words: the
west doesn't regard these as liberation movements.
But had Karimov pulled a bait-and-switch? The official Uzbek
press blamed the bombings on the Party of Liberation, which had
hitherto been non-violent and issued a denial of involvement from
its London office. The much more likely assassins would have been
the IMU, which is pretty well tied to terrorism throughout the
region but is less of a long-term threat to Karimov. (The IMU is
mostly impoverished farmers, whereas the Party of Liberation is
made up of college-educated urbanites.) Karimov used the attacks
to link the Party of Liberation to "international terror,"
whereas Human Rights Watch and other groups said it was simply a
homegrown insurgency in response to secret police practices such
as parading prisoners before their neighbors and forcing them to
publicly confess themselves as traitors and enemies of the state,
or arresting entire families in order to gain the surrender of a
relative. The truth in Central Asia is always hard to sort out,
but Karimov made it clear where he stands: "I'm prepared to rip
off the heads of 200 people, to sacrifice their lives, in order
to save peace and calm in the republic. . . . If my child chose
such a path, I myself would rip off his head."
The week before he said that, Karimov and his ministers had
formally declared 2004 "The Year of Kindness and Mercy" in
Uzbekistan. Of course we raised the cotton, Commissar. It's all
counter-revolutionary lies. |